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  •  Responsibility
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  •  Incremental costs of climate action
    • Assuming a total global mitigation cost of $1,100 billion (1.0% of GWP), this yields a global average incremental mitigation cost of $39 per tonne CO2e in 2030.

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Use the controls to the left to change the parameter values and see the implications for national fair shares.

Country/region report in 2030 for Turkey

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Global mitigation pathway: 1.5℃ pathway Responsibility weight: 0.5 Development threshold: $2,500
Progressive between thresholds: no
Include emiss. embodied in trade: no Include non-CO2 gases: yes Include land-use emissions: yes
Cumulative since: 1990 Mitigation cost as % GWP: 1.0% Adaptation cost as % GWP: 1.0%
Use mitigation smoothing: yes Kyoto adjustment: none Emissions elasticity: 1.0
\n 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 0 200 400 600 MtCO2e

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Baseline Emissions
GHG emissions baselines (these are *not* business-as-usual pathways) are calculated as counter-factual non-policy baselines. The method applies recent improvements of carbon intensity to GDP forecast estimates. GDP estimates based on national data from the IMF's Worls Economic Outlook (WEO) for the next 5 years and then on regional data from IPCC (Fifth Assessment Report) through 2030. See Definition, sourcing, and updating of the emissions baselines for details.
"Fair share" allocation
National allocation trajectory, as calculated for Turkey using the specified pathways and parameters. The mitigation implied by this allocation can be either domestic or international – The Climate Equity Reference Project effort-sharing framework says nothing about how or where it occurs.
Domestic emissions
An example domestic emissions pathway for Turkey, one that’s consistent with the selected parameters. This pathway does not describe the national fair share. Rather it is shown as a guide to thought. In this example, domestic emissions (the dotted green line) decline (relative to national BAU) at the same rate that global emissions decline below the global BAU. In the real world, a national domestic emissions trajectory will depend on the cost of domestic mitigation relative to the cost of mitigation in other countries, and on its chosen participation in international mechanisms for providing or receiving financial and technological support for mitigation.
Domestically-funded mitigation
Mitigation funded by Turkey and carried out within its own borders. The fraction of a country's mitigation fair share that is discharged domestically is not specified by the CERP effort-sharing framework, but is rather a result of the international cost and mitigation sharing arrangements that it chooses to participate in.
Mitigation funded in other countries
Mitigation funded by Turkey and carried out within other countries. The fraction of a country's mitigation fair share that is discharged in other countries is not specified by the CERP effort-sharing framework, but is rather a result of the international cost and mitigation sharing arrangements that it chooses to participate in.

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Fair shares
Turkey baseline emissions, projected to 2030 560 MtCO2e
Global mitigation requirement below global baseline, projected to 2030(A)27,821 MtCO2e
Turkey share of global Responsibility Capacity Index in 2024 to 2030 period(B)1.3%
Turkey mitigation fair share, projected to 2030(A × B) 
as tonnes below baseline 353 MtCO2e
as tonnes per capita below baseline 4.0 tCO2e/cap
as percent below baseline 63%
Averagge per capita fair share of global costs, expressed in financial terms 
Mitigation costs (assuming incremental global mitigation costs = 1.0% of GWP) $157
Adaptation cost (assuming global adaptation costs = 1.0% of GWP) $157
 
Turkey 1990 emissions 170 MtCO2e
Turkey emissions allocation, projected to 2030  
as tonnes 207 MtCO2e
as tonnes per capita 2.3 tCO2e
as percent of 1990 emissions 122%
as percent above 1990 emissions 22%
 

Data version: 7.3.3 (last change to database: 26 Mar 2024 12:51:44 PDT, fw-sql3--okcMIT)
Calculator version: 3.0.1 (engine); 3.2.0 (cerc-web)